Moses: A Dynamic Spatial Microsimulation Model for Demographic Planning

Wu, Belinda and Birkin, Mark (2012). Moses: A Dynamic Spatial Microsimulation Model for Demographic Planning. In: Tanton, Robert and Edwards, Kimberley eds. Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users. Understanding Population Trends and Processes (6). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, pp. 171–193.



People’s movements, interactions and behaviours have always been at the centre of the modelling of complex social systems. This chapter introduces an individual-based, dynamic spatial microsimulation model that simulates the population evolution through the individual changes in various demographic processes at a fine spatial scale. Following discussions of the features of this model, details of the model design and development are described. The simulated results over the period of 30 years are also analysed and discussed.

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