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Number of items: 17.


Tindale, E.; Chapman, S. C.; Moloney, N. R. and Watkins, N. W. (2018). The dependence of solar wind burst size on burst duration and its invariance across solar cycles 23 and 24. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics (Early Access).

Chapman, S. C.; Lang, P. T.; Dendy, R. O.; Giannone, L.; Watkins, N. W. and ASDEX Upgrade Team (2018). Control system-plasma synchronization and naturally occurring edge localized modes in a tokamak. Physics of Plasmas, 25(6), article no. 062511. file

Chapman, S. C.; Watkins, N. W. and Tindale, E. (2018). Reproducible aspects of the climate of space weather over the last five solar cycles. Space Weather (Early Access). file


Watkins, Nicholas W. (2017). (A)phantasia and severely deficient autobiographical memory: Scientific and personal perspectives. Cortex (Early Access).

Graves, Timothy; Franzke, Christian L.E.; Watkins, Nicholas W.; Gramacy, Robert B. and Tindale, Elizabeth (2017). Systematic inference of the long-range dependence and heavy-tail distribution parameters of ARFIMA models. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 473 pp. 60–71. file


Watkins, Nicholas W.; Pruessner, Gunnar; Chapman, Sandra C.; Crosby, Norma B. and Jensen, Henrik J. (2016). 25 Years of Self-organized Criticality: Concepts and Controversies. Space Science Reviews, 198(1) pp. 3–44. file


Hush, P.; Chapman, S. C.; Dunlop, M. W. and Watkins, N. W. (2015). Robust statistical properties of the size of large burst events in AE. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(21) pp. 9197–9202. file

Chapman, Sandra C.; Stainforth, David A. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015). Limits to the quantification of local climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 10(9), article no. 094018. file

Chapman, S. C.; Dendy, R. O.; Todd, T. N.; Watkins, N. W.; Calderon, F. A. and Morris, J. (2015). The global build-up to intrinsic edge localized mode bursts seen in divertor full flux loops in JET. Physics of Plasmas, 22(7), article no. 072506. file

Graves, T.; Gramacy, R. B.; Franzke, C. L. E. and Watkins, N. W. (2015). Efficient Bayesian inference for natural time series using ARFIMA processes. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 22(6) pp. 679–700. file

Franzke, Christian L. E.; Osprey, Scott M.; Davini, Paolo and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2015). A Dynamical Systems Explanation of the Hurst Effect and Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability. Scientific Reports, 5, article no. 9068. file


Chapman, S. C.; Dendy, R. O.; Todd, T. N.; Watkins, N. W.; Webster, A. J.; Calderon, F. A. and Morris, J. (2014). Relationship of edge localized mode burst times with divertor flux loop signal phase in JET. Physics of Plasmas, 21(6), article no. 062302. file

Chapman, S. C.; Dendy, R. O.; Webster, A. J.; Watkins, N. W.; Todd, T. N.; Morris, J. and JET EFDA Contributors (2014). An Apparent Relation between ELM Occurrence Times and the Prior Evolution of Divertor Flux Loop Measurements in JET. In: Proceedings of the 41st EPS Conference on Plasma Physics, article no. P1.010. file


Stainforth, David A; Chapman, Sandra C and Watkins, Nicholas W (2013). Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions. Environmental Research Letters, 8 034031. file

Capparelli, V.; Franzke, C.; Vecchio, A.; Freeman, M. P.; Watkins, N. W. and Carbone, V. (2013). A spatiotemporal analysis of U.S. station temperature trends over the last century. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118(14) pp. 7427–7434. file

Chapman, S. C.; Stainforth, D. A. and Watkins, N. W. (2013). On estimating local long-term climate trends. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 371(1991), article no. 20120287. file

Watkins, N. W. (2013). Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: Dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(2) pp. 402–410. file

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