The Open UniversitySkip to content

Predicting student success in open and distance learning

Simpson, Ormond (2006). Predicting student success in open and distance learning. Open Learning, 21(2) pp. 125–138.

DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Link:
Google Scholar: Look up in Google Scholar


This paper reviews some of the ways in which student success can be predicted in conventional and distance education. Predicting such success is particularly important for new students where the pre-course start information available is sometimes slight and withdrawal often occurs very early in a course. It suggests that, in such cases, statistical methods involving logistic regression analysis are more useful than questionnaires or tutors’ opinions. Identifying students with low probability of success allows support to be targeted on them. However there are ethical dilemmas to do with targeting support and openness with students about the results of any analysis.

Item Type: Journal Article
ISSN: 0268-0513
Keywords: Predicting student sucess; proactive student contact; intervention; student support
Academic Unit/Department: Institute of Educational Technology
Interdisciplinary Research Centre: Centre for Research in Education and Educational Technology (CREET)
Item ID: 6721
Depositing User: Ormond Simpson
Date Deposited: 14 Feb 2007
Last Modified: 02 Dec 2010 19:57
Share this page:


Scopus Citations

Actions (login may be required)

Policies | Disclaimer

© The Open University   + 44 (0)870 333 4340