The Open UniversitySkip to content
 

Low Carbon Futures: confronting electricity challenges on island systems

Matthew, George; Nuttall, William; Mestel, Benjamin and Dooley, Laurence (2019). Low Carbon Futures: confronting electricity challenges on island systems. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 147 pp. 36–50.

Full text available as:
Full text not publicly available (Accepted Manuscript)
Due to publisher licensing restrictions, this file is not available for public download until 12 January 2021
Click here to request a copy from the OU Author.
DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.06.014
Google Scholar: Look up in Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper considers the range of possible long-term futures for an electrically isolated island power system. Emphasis is given to generation investment decisions supportive of low-carbon renewable generation. Ranges of policy interventions are considered for the electrically isolated case study island of São Miguel in the Azores islands in the North Atlantic Ocean. The whole systems methodological approach of System Dynamics is used to bring together key sub-systems relating to, for example, generation adequacy, renewable generation investments and demand-side aspects. In this way, a comprehensive understanding is established with high levels of endogeneity. The model is used to investigate a range of policy scenarios associated with renewable energy growth, electric-vehicle uptake and electricity storage. It is found that policy is most effective when all aspects are addressed simultaneously and in a co-ordinated manner and that policy favouring renewable generation alone is not sufficient to achieve the highest possible penetration of renewables. Finally, the robustness of the observations is addressed via Monte-Carlo based sensitivity testing.

Item Type: Journal Item
Copyright Holders: 2019 Elsevier
ISSN: 0040-1625
Keywords: Low-carbon futures; Island electricity systems; System Dynamics; Electricity transitions; Sustainable energy policy and investments
Academic Unit/School: Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) > Engineering and Innovation
Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM)
Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) > Mathematics and Statistics
Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) > Computing and Communications
Item ID: 62218
Depositing User: William Nuttall
Date Deposited: 28 Jun 2019 08:15
Last Modified: 06 Sep 2019 22:11
URI: http://oro.open.ac.uk/id/eprint/62218
Share this page:

Metrics

Altmetrics from Altmetric

Citations from Dimensions

Actions (login may be required)

Policies | Disclaimer

© The Open University   contact the OU