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Multivariate prediction with nonlinear principal components analysis: application

Blasius, Jörg and Gower, John C. (2005). Multivariate prediction with nonlinear principal components analysis: application. Quality and Quantity, 39(4) pp. 373–390.

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Gower and Blasius (Quality and Quantity, 39, 2005) proposed the notion of multivariate predictability as a measure of goodness-of-fit in data reduction techniques which is useful for visualizing and screening data. For quantitative variables this leads to the usual sums-of-squares and variance accounted for criteria. For categorical variables, and in particular for ordered categorical variables, they showed how to predict the levels of all variables associated with every point (case). The proportion of predictions which agree with the true category-levels gives the measure of fit. The ideas are very general; as an illustration they used nonlinear principal components analysis. An example of the method is described in this paper using data drawn from 23 countries participating in the International Social Survey Program (1995), paying special attention to two sets of variables concerned with Regional and National Identity. It turns out that the predictability criterion suggests that the fits are rather better than is indicated by "percentage of variance accounted for".

Item Type: Article
Copyright Holders: 2005 Springer
ISSN: 0033-5177
Keywords: biplot; international comparison; large scale data analysis; national and regional identity; nonlinear principal components analysis; prediction
Academic Unit/School: Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) > Mathematics and Statistics
Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM)
Item ID: 18180
Depositing User: Colin Smith
Date Deposited: 14 Sep 2009 15:41
Last Modified: 04 Oct 2016 10:27
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